The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s 22nd Congressional District, an open seat shaped by recent redistricting, features several self-funded or well-financed contenders with Michael Carbonara holding the strongest trader consensus. A late Club for Growth endorsement and substantial fundraising have elevated Carbonara, yet an early-August poll showed Keiser, Askar, and Carbonara statistically tied amid more than 40 percent undecided voters. Negative coverage of Carbonara and questions about prior Democratic ties for Keiser have fueled attacks without producing clear separation. Burck and Askar retain smaller but viable shares. With voting the following day, last-minute endorsements, turnout among specific voter blocs, or final ad spending could still consolidate support behind one frontrunner in this low-name-recognition contest.