Recent forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 16°C in Helsinki today under a high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and steady solar insolation across southern Finland. This setup has narrowed trader focus to the tightly bunched 15°C and 16°C outcomes, which together exceed 64% implied probability, while the 17°C band captures residual model spread in peak timing and minor cloud variability. Historical May climatology shows mean highs of 14–15°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable anticyclonic weather rather than dynamic warming. Resolution hinges on the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport observation, with any late-day convective development or slight wind shift able to tip the final reading between the leading categories.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 17?
16°C 37%
15°C 29%
17°C 21%
18°C 5.9%
$17,932 Vol.
$17,932 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
27%
16°C
37%
17°C
21%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
2%
16°C 37%
15°C 29%
17°C 21%
18°C 5.9%
$17,932 Vol.
$17,932 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
27%
16°C
37%
17°C
21%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKRecent forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 16°C in Helsinki today under a high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and steady solar insolation across southern Finland. This setup has narrowed trader focus to the tightly bunched 15°C and 16°C outcomes, which together exceed 64% implied probability, while the 17°C band captures residual model spread in peak timing and minor cloud variability. Historical May climatology shows mean highs of 14–15°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by southerly flow and stable anticyclonic weather rather than dynamic warming. Resolution hinges on the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport observation, with any late-day convective development or slight wind shift able to tip the final reading between the leading categories.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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