Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
29°C 33%
28°C 21%
27°C 14%
30°C 14%
BARU
$15,788 Vol.
BARU
$15,788 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
21%
29°C
33%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
28°C 21%
27°C 14%
30°C 14%
BARU
$15,788 Vol.
BARU
$15,788 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,314 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,265 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,200 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,408 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2,085 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,914 Vol.
21%
29°C
$1,792 Vol.
33%
30°C
$537 Vol.
14%
31°C
$1,252 Vol.
7%
32°C
$1,206 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,816 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,788Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,788Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin with moderate humidity, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure influence that limits rapid warming or cooling. This positions 29°C as the market frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 28°C at 22.5%, while the broad distribution across 27–30°C reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and subtle steering flow variations that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages for the region hover around 26–28°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning, with final resolution depending on official station observations rather than model outputs alone.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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