Current ensemble forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency and regional models project a daily maximum temperature of 31–32°C for May 17, reflecting typical May climatology in the equatorial monsoon regime with light winds, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon convection. The near-even 30.5% market-implied odds on 31°C and 32°C capture the narrow spread among guidance, while the 25% probability on 33°C or higher reflects occasional model runs showing brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow slightly greater insolation. Lower outcomes remain discounted because historical May extremes rarely fall below 30°C under prevailing sea-surface temperatures near 30°C. Traders are watching the next 12-hour model updates for any shift in steering flow or moisture profiles that could tip the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Singapore on May 17?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 17?
32°C 39%
31°C 31%
33°C or higher 24%
30°C 10%
BARU
$23,594 Vol.
BARU
$23,594 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
31%
32°C
39%
33°C or higher
24%
32°C 39%
31°C 31%
33°C or higher 24%
30°C 10%
BARU
$23,594 Vol.
BARU
$23,594 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,392 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,428 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,738 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,363 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,230 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,901 Vol.
10%
31°C
$1,644 Vol.
31%
32°C
$2,732 Vol.
39%
33°C or higher
$3,146 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency and regional models project a daily maximum temperature of 31–32°C for May 17, reflecting typical May climatology in the equatorial monsoon regime with light winds, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon convection. The near-even 30.5% market-implied odds on 31°C and 32°C capture the narrow spread among guidance, while the 25% probability on 33°C or higher reflects occasional model runs showing brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow slightly greater insolation. Lower outcomes remain discounted because historical May extremes rarely fall below 30°C under prevailing sea-surface temperatures near 30°C. Traders are watching the next 12-hour model updates for any shift in steering flow or moisture profiles that could tip the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$23,594Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency and regional models project a daily maximum temperature of 31–32°C for May 17, reflecting typical May climatology in the equatorial monsoon regime with light winds, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon convection. The near-even 30.5% market-implied odds on 31°C and 32°C capture the narrow spread among guidance, while the 25% probability on 33°C or higher reflects occasional model runs showing brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow slightly greater insolation. Lower outcomes remain discounted because historical May extremes rarely fall below 30°C under prevailing sea-surface temperatures near 30°C. Traders are watching the next 12-hour model updates for any shift in steering flow or moisture profiles that could tip the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,594Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSCurrent ensemble forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency and regional models project a daily maximum temperature of 31–32°C for May 17, reflecting typical May climatology in the equatorial monsoon regime with light winds, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon convection. The near-even 30.5% market-implied odds on 31°C and 32°C capture the narrow spread among guidance, while the 25% probability on 33°C or higher reflects occasional model runs showing brief breaks in cloud cover that could allow slightly greater insolation. Lower outcomes remain discounted because historical May extremes rarely fall below 30°C under prevailing sea-surface temperatures near 30°C. Traders are watching the next 12-hour model updates for any shift in steering flow or moisture profiles that could tip the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan