Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under sunny periods and isolated showers, following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin earlier in the week. The storm’s outer subsidence had driven record heat reaching 36.9°C on August 9, but subsequent moderation from increased cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat-island influences has narrowed the expected peak. Midsummer climatology, with typical highs of 31–33°C, combined with model consensus on limited convection, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 33°C. Afternoon showers or a slight increase in cloudiness could keep the reading at or below that threshold, while unexpectedly clear skies or stronger subsidence would be required to push the official absolute daily maximum into the 34°C range or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$105,611 Vol.
$105,611 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$105,611 Vol.
$105,611 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$949 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,782 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,502 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$16,743 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$31,025 Vol.
100%
34°C
$19,030 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$14,628 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,112 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under sunny periods and isolated showers, following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin earlier in the week. The storm’s outer subsidence had driven record heat reaching 36.9°C on August 9, but subsequent moderation from increased cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat-island influences has narrowed the expected peak. Midsummer climatology, with typical highs of 31–33°C, combined with model consensus on limited convection, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 33°C. Afternoon showers or a slight increase in cloudiness could keep the reading at or below that threshold, while unexpectedly clear skies or stronger subsidence would be required to push the official absolute daily maximum into the 34°C range or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$105,611Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under sunny periods and isolated showers, following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin earlier in the week. The storm’s outer subsidence had driven record heat reaching 36.9°C on August 9, but subsequent moderation from increased cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat-island influences has narrowed the expected peak. Midsummer climatology, with typical highs of 31–33°C, combined with model consensus on limited convection, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 33°C. Afternoon showers or a slight increase in cloudiness could keep the reading at or below that threshold, while unexpectedly clear skies or stronger subsidence would be required to push the official absolute daily maximum into the 34°C range or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$105,611Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 13 project a daytime maximum near 33–34°C under sunny periods and isolated showers, following the passage of Tropical Cyclone Dolphin earlier in the week. The storm’s outer subsidence had driven record heat reaching 36.9°C on August 9, but subsequent moderation from increased cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat-island influences has narrowed the expected peak. Midsummer climatology, with typical highs of 31–33°C, combined with model consensus on limited convection, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 33°C. Afternoon showers or a slight increase in cloudiness could keep the reading at or below that threshold, while unexpectedly clear skies or stronger subsidence would be required to push the official absolute daily maximum into the 34°C range or higher.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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