**Trader sentiment centers on monsoon-driven moderation keeping Karachi's August 5 high near the long-term seasonal average.** Forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models consistently point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C, supported by partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity that limit strong daytime heating. AccuWeather and other guidance show highs in the 30–34°C range for early August 2026, aligning with climatological norms of ~31–32°C amid the active monsoon. Recent updates note widespread monsoon rain and thunderstorms across parts of Sindh, which can cap temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while steering patterns keep the city from extreme heat. This explains the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (57%) and 32°C (36.5%), with lower probabilities for 34°C or cooler outcomes reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability. Resolution will hinge on the official highest reading from the primary Karachi station, with any last-minute convective activity potentially shifting the exact value within the narrow favored band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on August 5?
33°C 56%
32°C 38%
34°C 5%
31°C 1.1%
$27,876 Vol.
$27,876 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
38%
33°C
56%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 38%
34°C 5%
31°C 1.1%
$27,876 Vol.
$27,876 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
38%
33°C
56%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on monsoon-driven moderation keeping Karachi's August 5 high near the long-term seasonal average.** Forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models consistently point to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C, supported by partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity that limit strong daytime heating. AccuWeather and other guidance show highs in the 30–34°C range for early August 2026, aligning with climatological norms of ~31–32°C amid the active monsoon. Recent updates note widespread monsoon rain and thunderstorms across parts of Sindh, which can cap temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling while steering patterns keep the city from extreme heat. This explains the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (57%) and 32°C (36.5%), with lower probabilities for 34°C or cooler outcomes reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability. Resolution will hinge on the official highest reading from the primary Karachi station, with any last-minute convective activity potentially shifting the exact value within the narrow favored band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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