Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow will likely peak near 41°C today under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, keeping the market-implied probability of 41°C or below at 62.5% as the dominant outcome. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to stable atmospheric conditions and no active heat wave advisory, aligning with typical mid-May climatology where highs average around 40°C. Recent daily maxima have hovered 1–3°C below normal, and the absence of significant moisture or upper-level support reduces the chance of exceeding 42°C, reflected in the combined 27.5% odds for that exact level. Traders are monitoring the evening IMD bulletin and any late-day convective activity for final adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 60%
42°C 36%
43°C 4.1%
44°C 2.1%
$19,145 Vol.
$19,145 Vol.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
60%
42°C
36%
43°C
4%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 60%
42°C 36%
43°C 4.1%
44°C 2.1%
$19,145 Vol.
$19,145 Vol.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
$2,318 Vol.
60%
42°C
$1,653 Vol.
36%
43°C
$1,365 Vol.
4%
44°C
$1,522 Vol.
2%
45°C
$2,124 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$2,068 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$1,563 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$3,872 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,086 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow will likely peak near 41°C today under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, keeping the market-implied probability of 41°C or below at 62.5% as the dominant outcome. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to stable atmospheric conditions and no active heat wave advisory, aligning with typical mid-May climatology where highs average around 40°C. Recent daily maxima have hovered 1–3°C below normal, and the absence of significant moisture or upper-level support reduces the chance of exceeding 42°C, reflected in the combined 27.5% odds for that exact level. Traders are monitoring the evening IMD bulletin and any late-day convective activity for final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$19,145Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow will likely peak near 41°C today under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, keeping the market-implied probability of 41°C or below at 62.5% as the dominant outcome. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to stable atmospheric conditions and no active heat wave advisory, aligning with typical mid-May climatology where highs average around 40°C. Recent daily maxima have hovered 1–3°C below normal, and the absence of significant moisture or upper-level support reduces the chance of exceeding 42°C, reflected in the combined 27.5% odds for that exact level. Traders are monitoring the evening IMD bulletin and any late-day convective activity for final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,145Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts and observational data indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow will likely peak near 41°C today under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds, keeping the market-implied probability of 41°C or below at 62.5% as the dominant outcome. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to stable atmospheric conditions and no active heat wave advisory, aligning with typical mid-May climatology where highs average around 40°C. Recent daily maxima have hovered 1–3°C below normal, and the absence of significant moisture or upper-level support reduces the chance of exceeding 42°C, reflected in the combined 27.5% odds for that exact level. Traders are monitoring the evening IMD bulletin and any late-day convective activity for final adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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