Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
32°C 41%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
41%
33°C
20%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$41 Vol.
2%
30°C
$941 Vol.
10%
31°C
$614 Vol.
25%
32°C
$577 Vol.
41%
33°C
$680 Vol.
20%
34°C
$275 Vol.
6%
35°C
$200 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,016Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,016Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 35°C maximum for Lucknow on September 19 amid partly cloudy skies and monsoon withdrawal signals, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C due to ensemble forecast spreads. Persistent high humidity near 70–80%, variable northwest winds, and afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce cooling via cloud shading and localized rain, potentially suppressing peaks below official maxima. Clearer morning intervals could still permit brief rises toward 33°C if convection holds off, while denser cover or earlier showers favor the 31°C band. Updated model runs and IMD nowcasts ahead of peak heating remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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