Recent forecasts from European meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid likely settling at 21–23°C today, driven by a stable high-pressure system and moderate northerly flow limiting daytime heating. Model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to peak readings near 22°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the region where daily highs average 21–24°C. Trader positioning favoring 22°C reflects these near-term observations, with lower probabilities on 24°C or higher tied to the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification that could push readings upward before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 45%
23°C 25%
21°C 21%
24°C 11%
$17,277 Vol.
$17,277 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
21%
22°C
45%
23°C
25%
24°C
11%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 25%
21°C 21%
24°C 11%
$17,277 Vol.
$17,277 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
21%
22°C
45%
23°C
25%
24°C
11%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDRecent forecasts from European meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature in Madrid likely settling at 21–23°C today, driven by a stable high-pressure system and moderate northerly flow limiting daytime heating. Model consensus from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts points to peak readings near 22°C under partly cloudy skies, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the region where daily highs average 21–24°C. Trader positioning favoring 22°C reflects these near-term observations, with lower probabilities on 24°C or higher tied to the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification that could push readings upward before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan