Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate a high near 28°C in Madrid on September 10, driven by northeasterly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits daytime heating after a cooler overnight low around 12–14°C. This positions 28°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, with 27°C and 29°C as close alternatives reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Recent runs show stable high pressure suppressing stronger advection or convective development, consistent with the narrow probability distribution. New model updates and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date will provide the next resolution signals for these short-range temperature thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
28°C 50%
27°C 32%
29°C 16%
26°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
32%
28°C
50%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
28°C 50%
27°C 32%
29°C 16%
26°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$12 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$200 Vol.
32%
28°C
$339 Vol.
50%
29°C
$91 Vol.
16%
30°C
$8 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$15 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate a high near 28°C in Madrid on September 10, driven by northeasterly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits daytime heating after a cooler overnight low around 12–14°C. This positions 28°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, with 27°C and 29°C as close alternatives reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Recent runs show stable high pressure suppressing stronger advection or convective development, consistent with the narrow probability distribution. New model updates and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date will provide the next resolution signals for these short-range temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$519Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate a high near 28°C in Madrid on September 10, driven by northeasterly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits daytime heating after a cooler overnight low around 12–14°C. This positions 28°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, with 27°C and 29°C as close alternatives reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Recent runs show stable high pressure suppressing stronger advection or convective development, consistent with the narrow probability distribution. New model updates and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date will provide the next resolution signals for these short-range temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$519Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate a high near 28°C in Madrid on September 10, driven by northeasterly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits daytime heating after a cooler overnight low around 12–14°C. This positions 28°C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, with 27°C and 29°C as close alternatives reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Recent runs show stable high pressure suppressing stronger advection or convective development, consistent with the narrow probability distribution. New model updates and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date will provide the next resolution signals for these short-range temperature thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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