Forecast models from sources including GFS and European agencies indicate clear skies and northeast winds will drive overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on September 10 near 11–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability for 11°C or below, as current runs show morning lows around 12°C after a 9 September frontal passage. Historical September averages near 16°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while model consensus on light winds and low humidity supports limited warming before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 10?
11°C or below 59%
12°C 23%
21°C or higher 20%
17°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
11°C or below
59%
12°C
23%
13°C
12%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
9%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
20%
11°C or below 59%
12°C 23%
21°C or higher 20%
17°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
11°C or below
$2 Vol.
59%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
12%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
9%
17°C
$6 Vol.
16%
18°C
$25 Vol.
1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
1%
20°C
$6 Vol.
16%
21°C or higher
$35 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and European agencies indicate clear skies and northeast winds will drive overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on September 10 near 11–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability for 11°C or below, as current runs show morning lows around 12°C after a 9 September frontal passage. Historical September averages near 16°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while model consensus on light winds and low humidity supports limited warming before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$99Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and European agencies indicate clear skies and northeast winds will drive overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on September 10 near 11–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability for 11°C or below, as current runs show morning lows around 12°C after a 9 September frontal passage. Historical September averages near 16°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while model consensus on light winds and low humidity supports limited warming before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and European agencies indicate clear skies and northeast winds will drive overnight radiative cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on September 10 near 11–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57% probability for 11°C or below, as current runs show morning lows around 12°C after a 9 September frontal passage. Historical September averages near 16°C provide context for the cooler anomaly, while model consensus on light winds and low humidity supports limited warming before dawn. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could alter the minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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