Official forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 27°C in Madrid on September 9, driven by morning cloud cover and light rain that limited solar heating, followed by clearing skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 27°C outcome at 71.5% implied probability, as afternoon readings are projected to peak in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Historical September averages hover around 28°C, but today’s setup lacks the clear, stable high-pressure pattern needed for 28°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the latest hourly guidance and resolution criteria—official maximum temperature readings—more heavily than climatology, with minimal volume on outliers below 26°C or above 28°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 9?
27°C 75%
28°C 16%
26°C 10%
29°C 2%
$33,875 Vol.
$33,875 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
10%
27°C
75%
28°C
16%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 75%
28°C 16%
26°C 10%
29°C 2%
$33,875 Vol.
$33,875 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
24°C or below
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,456 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,143 Vol.
10%
27°C
$7,729 Vol.
75%
28°C
$6,453 Vol.
16%
29°C
$3,458 Vol.
2%
30°C
$3,401 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,281 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$796 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$514 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 27°C in Madrid on September 9, driven by morning cloud cover and light rain that limited solar heating, followed by clearing skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 27°C outcome at 71.5% implied probability, as afternoon readings are projected to peak in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Historical September averages hover around 28°C, but today’s setup lacks the clear, stable high-pressure pattern needed for 28°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the latest hourly guidance and resolution criteria—official maximum temperature readings—more heavily than climatology, with minimal volume on outliers below 26°C or above 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$33,875Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 27°C in Madrid on September 9, driven by morning cloud cover and light rain that limited solar heating, followed by clearing skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 27°C outcome at 71.5% implied probability, as afternoon readings are projected to peak in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Historical September averages hover around 28°C, but today’s setup lacks the clear, stable high-pressure pattern needed for 28°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the latest hourly guidance and resolution criteria—official maximum temperature readings—more heavily than climatology, with minimal volume on outliers below 26°C or above 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,875Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from AEMET and supporting models indicate a daytime high near 27°C in Madrid on September 9, driven by morning cloud cover and light rain that limited solar heating, followed by clearing skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 27°C outcome at 71.5% implied probability, as afternoon readings are projected to peak in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius before cooling overnight. Historical September averages hover around 28°C, but today’s setup lacks the clear, stable high-pressure pattern needed for 28°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh the latest hourly guidance and resolution criteria—official maximum temperature readings—more heavily than climatology, with minimal volume on outliers below 26°C or above 28°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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