Recent numerical weather model consensus for Mexico City on August 8 centers on a daily maximum near 23–24°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering between those outcomes amid typical early-August conditions. The city's 2,240-meter elevation consistently caps highs even during peak insolation, while widespread afternoon convection and cloud cover driven by the North American monsoon further suppress temperatures through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows August maxima averaging 23–24°C with limited variance, and current guidance indicates no significant deviation from steering patterns or drier air masses that might allow brief spikes to 25°C or higher. Traders weigh the precise timing of expected showers against model spread in boundary-layer moisture as the primary sources of remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
24°C 39%
25°C 30%
23°C 22%
26°C 11%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
22%
24°C
39%
25°C
30%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 39%
25°C 30%
23°C 22%
26°C 11%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
22%
24°C
39%
25°C
30%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus for Mexico City on August 8 centers on a daily maximum near 23–24°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering between those outcomes amid typical early-August conditions. The city's 2,240-meter elevation consistently caps highs even during peak insolation, while widespread afternoon convection and cloud cover driven by the North American monsoon further suppress temperatures through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows August maxima averaging 23–24°C with limited variance, and current guidance indicates no significant deviation from steering patterns or drier air masses that might allow brief spikes to 25°C or higher. Traders weigh the precise timing of expected showers against model spread in boundary-layer moisture as the primary sources of remaining uncertainty ahead of official observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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