National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami today, supporting daytime highs in the upper 80s that align with the market’s leading 86–87°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability and the closely trailing 88–89°F bracket at 35.5%. This positioning reflects typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 85°F amid moderate humidity and light easterly flow that limits rapid intensification. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with sea-breeze effects and partial cloud cover tempering peak temperatures below 90°F. Updated NHC and local observations through midday will provide the final data for resolution at Miami International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
86-87°F 48%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 6.4%
$29,813 Vol.
$29,813 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 48%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 6.4%
$29,813 Vol.
$29,813 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy conditions over Miami today, supporting daytime highs in the upper 80s that align with the market’s leading 86–87°F outcome at 45.5% implied probability and the closely trailing 88–89°F bracket at 35.5%. This positioning reflects typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 85°F amid moderate humidity and light easterly flow that limits rapid intensification. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with sea-breeze effects and partial cloud cover tempering peak temperatures below 90°F. Updated NHC and local observations through midday will provide the final data for resolution at Miami International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan