Latest model consensus from sources like GFS positions 27°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Milan on September 16, driven by southerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation while scattered thunderstorms add uncertainty to afternoon heating. Current conditions on September 15 feature clear skies and highs near 26–28°C, providing a warm baseline, yet increasing humidity and instability overnight are expected to cap extremes below 28°C in most runs. Traders appear to weigh this against historical September averages around 24°C and the risk of convective cooling, concentrating implied probability on the narrow 27–28°C range ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on September 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 16?
27°C 61%
28°C 29%
26°C 10%
31°C 2%
BARU
$11,175 Vol.
BARU
$11,175 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
10%
27°C
61%
28°C
29%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 61%
28°C 29%
26°C 10%
31°C 2%
BARU
$11,175 Vol.
BARU
$11,175 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
$968 Vol.
1%
23°C
$170 Vol.
1%
24°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$883 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,250 Vol.
10%
27°C
$2,160 Vol.
61%
28°C
$2,616 Vol.
29%
29°C
$113 Vol.
2%
30°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$2,452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from sources like GFS positions 27°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Milan on September 16, driven by southerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation while scattered thunderstorms add uncertainty to afternoon heating. Current conditions on September 15 feature clear skies and highs near 26–28°C, providing a warm baseline, yet increasing humidity and instability overnight are expected to cap extremes below 28°C in most runs. Traders appear to weigh this against historical September averages around 24°C and the risk of convective cooling, concentrating implied probability on the narrow 27–28°C range ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,175Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from sources like GFS positions 27°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Milan on September 16, driven by southerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation while scattered thunderstorms add uncertainty to afternoon heating. Current conditions on September 15 feature clear skies and highs near 26–28°C, providing a warm baseline, yet increasing humidity and instability overnight are expected to cap extremes below 28°C in most runs. Traders appear to weigh this against historical September averages around 24°C and the risk of convective cooling, concentrating implied probability on the narrow 27–28°C range ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,175Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model consensus from sources like GFS positions 27°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Milan on September 16, driven by southerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation while scattered thunderstorms add uncertainty to afternoon heating. Current conditions on September 15 feature clear skies and highs near 26–28°C, providing a warm baseline, yet increasing humidity and instability overnight are expected to cap extremes below 28°C in most runs. Traders appear to weigh this against historical September averages around 24°C and the risk of convective cooling, concentrating implied probability on the narrow 27–28°C range ahead of final observational data from local meteorological services.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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