Traders see 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on August 7 because climatological baselines for early August place daily maxima near 31–32°C under typical wet-season conditions, with short-term model guidance indicating modest warming from reduced cloud cover and a northward shift in the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Current surface observations show afternoon temperatures already approaching 32°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, supporting the market-implied odds while leaving room for slight upward or downward revision if overnight model runs alter the convective outlook. NOAA and regional forecast ensembles carry inherent uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C this far ahead, so new data releases tomorrow morning will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on August 7?
33°C 46%
34°C 34%
32°C 17%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
46%
34°C
34%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 46%
34°C 34%
32°C 17%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
46%
34°C
34%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 33–34°C as the most probable high for Panama City on August 7 because climatological baselines for early August place daily maxima near 31–32°C under typical wet-season conditions, with short-term model guidance indicating modest warming from reduced cloud cover and a northward shift in the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Current surface observations show afternoon temperatures already approaching 32°C amid moderate humidity and light winds, supporting the market-implied odds while leaving room for slight upward or downward revision if overnight model runs alter the convective outlook. NOAA and regional forecast ensembles carry inherent uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C this far ahead, so new data releases tomorrow morning will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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