Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show a narrow range of possible maximum temperatures for Paris on May 19, centered near 17–19 °C, which accounts for the tightly grouped market-implied probabilities. This spread arises from modest differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and light southwesterly flow ahead of a weak Atlantic front, all typical for mid-May in the region. Long-term climatology supports daily highs around 18 °C during this period, while current surface observations indicate no strong ridge or clear-sky setup that would favor 20 °C or above. Updated model runs and surface analyses over the next 48 hours will narrow the outcome range before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on May 19?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 19?
17°C 32%
18°C 27%
16°C 20%
19°C 19%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
32%
18°C
27%
19°C
19%
20°C
8%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 32%
18°C 27%
16°C 20%
19°C 19%
BARU
BARU
May 19, 2026
12°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
13°C
$15 Vol.
1%
14°C
$424 Vol.
2%
15°C
$2 Vol.
6%
16°C
$36 Vol.
18%
17°C
$10 Vol.
32%
18°C
$10 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$24 Vol.
8%
21°C
$43 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$6 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show a narrow range of possible maximum temperatures for Paris on May 19, centered near 17–19 °C, which accounts for the tightly grouped market-implied probabilities. This spread arises from modest differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and light southwesterly flow ahead of a weak Atlantic front, all typical for mid-May in the region. Long-term climatology supports daily highs around 18 °C during this period, while current surface observations indicate no strong ridge or clear-sky setup that would favor 20 °C or above. Updated model runs and surface analyses over the next 48 hours will narrow the outcome range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$584Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show a narrow range of possible maximum temperatures for Paris on May 19, centered near 17–19 °C, which accounts for the tightly grouped market-implied probabilities. This spread arises from modest differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and light southwesterly flow ahead of a weak Atlantic front, all typical for mid-May in the region. Long-term climatology supports daily highs around 18 °C during this period, while current surface observations indicate no strong ridge or clear-sky setup that would favor 20 °C or above. Updated model runs and surface analyses over the next 48 hours will narrow the outcome range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$584Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show a narrow range of possible maximum temperatures for Paris on May 19, centered near 17–19 °C, which accounts for the tightly grouped market-implied probabilities. This spread arises from modest differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and light southwesterly flow ahead of a weak Atlantic front, all typical for mid-May in the region. Long-term climatology supports daily highs around 18 °C during this period, while current surface observations indicate no strong ridge or clear-sky setup that would favor 20 °C or above. Updated model runs and surface analyses over the next 48 hours will narrow the outcome range before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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