Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar insolation under mostly clear skies. Mid-May climatology for central Tokyo averages 23–25 °C, so current guidance reflects an above-normal but not extreme warm episode. Small differences between the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of peak heating, minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day cloud development that could shave a degree from the daily high. The modest probability for 30 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in how much additional warming the southerly flow can deliver before sunset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
29°C 42%
28°C 42%
30°C or higher 16%
20°C or below <1%
$59,534 Vol.
$59,534 Vol.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
42%
29°C
42%
30°C or higher
16%
29°C 42%
28°C 42%
30°C or higher 16%
20°C or below <1%
$59,534 Vol.
$59,534 Vol.
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$2,924 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,793 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$819 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,184 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,437 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,747 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,689 Vol.
42%
29°C
$3,513 Vol.
42%
30°C or higher
$5,996 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar insolation under mostly clear skies. Mid-May climatology for central Tokyo averages 23–25 °C, so current guidance reflects an above-normal but not extreme warm episode. Small differences between the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of peak heating, minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day cloud development that could shave a degree from the daily high. The modest probability for 30 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in how much additional warming the southerly flow can deliver before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$59,534Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar insolation under mostly clear skies. Mid-May climatology for central Tokyo averages 23–25 °C, so current guidance reflects an above-normal but not extreme warm episode. Small differences between the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of peak heating, minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day cloud development that could shave a degree from the daily high. The modest probability for 30 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in how much additional warming the southerly flow can deliver before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$59,534Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s May 17 maximum near 28–29 °C at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar insolation under mostly clear skies. Mid-May climatology for central Tokyo averages 23–25 °C, so current guidance reflects an above-normal but not extreme warm episode. Small differences between the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of peak heating, minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day cloud development that could shave a degree from the daily high. The modest probability for 30 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in how much additional warming the southerly flow can deliver before sunset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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