Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a pronounced warm-air advection over eastern Japan this weekend, supporting a Tokyo daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Southerly flow combined with ample sunshine is expected to drive afternoon temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Ensemble guidance remains consistent on peak heating potential, though minor model spread exists regarding exact timing of any coastal breeze. Resolution will rest solely on the official JMA maximum, and traders have incorporated this consensus into the leading outcome while monitoring the final pre-event forecast update for any late adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
28°C or higher 61%
27°C 28%
26°C 11%
25°C 3.5%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
28%
28°C or higher
61%
28°C or higher 61%
27°C 28%
26°C 11%
25°C 3.5%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
18°C or below
$1,378 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,018 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$997 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$498 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$751 Vol.
1%
25°C
$384 Vol.
4%
26°C
$378 Vol.
11%
27°C
$509 Vol.
28%
28°C or higher
$508 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a pronounced warm-air advection over eastern Japan this weekend, supporting a Tokyo daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Southerly flow combined with ample sunshine is expected to drive afternoon temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Ensemble guidance remains consistent on peak heating potential, though minor model spread exists regarding exact timing of any coastal breeze. Resolution will rest solely on the official JMA maximum, and traders have incorporated this consensus into the leading outcome while monitoring the final pre-event forecast update for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,307Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a pronounced warm-air advection over eastern Japan this weekend, supporting a Tokyo daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Southerly flow combined with ample sunshine is expected to drive afternoon temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Ensemble guidance remains consistent on peak heating potential, though minor model spread exists regarding exact timing of any coastal breeze. Resolution will rest solely on the official JMA maximum, and traders have incorporated this consensus into the leading outcome while monitoring the final pre-event forecast update for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,307Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTForecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a pronounced warm-air advection over eastern Japan this weekend, supporting a Tokyo daily maximum of 28°C or higher on May 18. Southerly flow combined with ample sunshine is expected to drive afternoon temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C at the Otemachi station. Ensemble guidance remains consistent on peak heating potential, though minor model spread exists regarding exact timing of any coastal breeze. Resolution will rest solely on the official JMA maximum, and traders have incorporated this consensus into the leading outcome while monitoring the final pre-event forecast update for any late adjustments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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