Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Wuhan on May 17, driven by the latest National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time observational data showing daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs at 26–28°C, with current model runs indicating minimal deviation from this baseline amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity. Recent surface observations from Wuhan stations confirm steady warming trends consistent with these projections. A shift to stronger southerly flow or localized convection could realistically push readings to 29°C or higher, though ensemble guidance suggests low likelihood before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 98.4%
29°C 2.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$49,087 Vol.
$49,087 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
98%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98.4%
29°C 2.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$49,087 Vol.
$49,087 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,976 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$14,144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,957 Vol.
98%
29°C
$2,639 Vol.
2%
30°C
$2,760 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,630 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,668 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Wuhan on May 17, driven by the latest National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time observational data showing daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs at 26–28°C, with current model runs indicating minimal deviation from this baseline amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity. Recent surface observations from Wuhan stations confirm steady warming trends consistent with these projections. A shift to stronger southerly flow or localized convection could realistically push readings to 29°C or higher, though ensemble guidance suggests low likelihood before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$49,087Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Wuhan on May 17, driven by the latest National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time observational data showing daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs at 26–28°C, with current model runs indicating minimal deviation from this baseline amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity. Recent surface observations from Wuhan stations confirm steady warming trends consistent with these projections. A shift to stronger southerly flow or localized convection could realistically push readings to 29°C or higher, though ensemble guidance suggests low likelihood before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,087Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHTrader consensus assigns overwhelming 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Wuhan on May 17, driven by the latest National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time observational data showing daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs at 26–28°C, with current model runs indicating minimal deviation from this baseline amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity. Recent surface observations from Wuhan stations confirm steady warming trends consistent with these projections. A shift to stronger southerly flow or localized convection could realistically push readings to 29°C or higher, though ensemble guidance suggests low likelihood before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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