Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks from an active weather system have suppressed daytime heating in Zhengzhou, driving market-implied odds of 97.5% for a 25°C high on August 12. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate maxima near 23–26°C under overcast skies with northeasterly winds and high humidity limiting solar radiation and convective warming, well below the month’s typical 30–32°C climatological average. This consensus reflects real-time model runs emphasizing precipitation’s cooling effect. Clearer conditions or a sudden shift in steering patterns allowing more insolation could push readings toward 27–28°C, though current observational data and short-term guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 12?
25°C 98%
26°C 1.1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$12,409 Vol.
$12,409 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
25°C 98%
26°C 1.1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$12,409 Vol.
$12,409 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks from an active weather system have suppressed daytime heating in Zhengzhou, driving market-implied odds of 97.5% for a 25°C high on August 12. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate maxima near 23–26°C under overcast skies with northeasterly winds and high humidity limiting solar radiation and convective warming, well below the month’s typical 30–32°C climatological average. This consensus reflects real-time model runs emphasizing precipitation’s cooling effect. Clearer conditions or a sudden shift in steering patterns allowing more insolation could push readings toward 27–28°C, though current observational data and short-term guidance make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan