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icon for James Comey in jail by June 30?

James Comey in jail by June 30?

icon for James Comey in jail by June 30?

James Comey in jail by June 30?

8% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
8% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two felony counts under 18 U.S.C. § 871 for allegedly threatening President Trump via a 2025 social media post depicting seashells arranged as "86 47," prompting his self-surrender and release after a brief court appearance. This second DOJ case under Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche follows a prior indictment that collapsed, with legal observers questioning its viability on First Amendment grounds amid reports of internal DOJ fallout. Traders price "No" at 92% due to the July 15 trial date—post-June 30 resolution—lack of pretrial detention, and extended timelines for conviction, sentencing, or appeals that would preclude jail by deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,307
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A federal grand jury indicted former FBI Director James Comey on April 28, 2026, on two felony counts under 18 U.S.C. § 871 for allegedly threatening President Trump via a 2025 social media post depicting seashells arranged as "86 47," prompting his self-surrender and release after a brief court appearance. This second DOJ case under Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche follows a prior indictment that collapsed, with legal observers questioning its viability on First Amendment grounds amid reports of internal DOJ fallout. Traders price "No" at 92% due to the July 15 trial date—post-June 30 resolution—lack of pretrial detention, and extended timelines for conviction, sentencing, or appeals that would preclude jail by deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,307
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 29, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Comey serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"James Comey in jail by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 8% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 8¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 8% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"James Comey in jail by June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 29, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "James Comey in jail by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "James Comey in jail by June 30?" adalah 8% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 8% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "James Comey in jail by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.