Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account has maintained low posting volume in periods of relative regional stability since assuming the role in March 2026. Recent diplomatic signals around potential ceasefires and limited escalation have reduced the need for frequent public statements on military posture or alliances, aligning trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 window. Historical patterns show bursts tied to active conflict phases rather than routine updates. A sudden Iranian military response, major nuclear talks announcement, or high-profile regime address could still increase activity and shift outcomes before the period closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 95%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.3%
20-24 1.1%
$12,129 Vol.
$12,129 Vol.
May 19, 2026
<5
95%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 95%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.3%
20-24 1.1%
$12,129 Vol.
$12,129 Vol.
May 19, 2026
<5
$2,473 Vol.
95%
5-9
$2,064 Vol.
2%
10-14
$984 Vol.
1%
15-19
$1,493 Vol.
1%
20-24
$946 Vol.
1%
25-29
$405 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$458 Vol.
1%
35-39
$448 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$596 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$484 Vol.
1%
50-54
$503 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$609 Vol.
<1%
60+
$666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account has maintained low posting volume in periods of relative regional stability since assuming the role in March 2026. Recent diplomatic signals around potential ceasefires and limited escalation have reduced the need for frequent public statements on military posture or alliances, aligning trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 window. Historical patterns show bursts tied to active conflict phases rather than routine updates. A sudden Iranian military response, major nuclear talks announcement, or high-profile regime address could still increase activity and shift outcomes before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Volume
$12,129Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account has maintained low posting volume in periods of relative regional stability since assuming the role in March 2026. Recent diplomatic signals around potential ceasefires and limited escalation have reduced the need for frequent public statements on military posture or alliances, aligning trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 window. Historical patterns show bursts tied to active conflict phases rather than routine updates. A sudden Iranian military response, major nuclear talks announcement, or high-profile regime address could still increase activity and shift outcomes before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$12,129Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account has maintained low posting volume in periods of relative regional stability since assuming the role in March 2026. Recent diplomatic signals around potential ceasefires and limited escalation have reduced the need for frequent public statements on military posture or alliances, aligning trader consensus around fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 window. Historical patterns show bursts tied to active conflict phases rather than routine updates. A sudden Iranian military response, major nuclear talks announcement, or high-profile regime address could still increase activity and shift outcomes before the period closes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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