The @khamenei_ir account's posting patterns during Iran's ongoing regional tensions and leadership consolidation under Mojtaba Khamenei shape current trader assessments. Historical data shows irregular bursts of activity tied to geopolitical statements on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear negotiations, interspersed with multi-day silences even amid active diplomacy. Recent developments, including senior officials' demands for guarantees against future attacks and reaffirmations of control over key waterways as of mid-May 2026, have prompted selective rather than sustained output. This dynamic supports the leading outcome of under five posts for the full week while leaving room for moderate volume if new diplomatic or military signals emerge before May 22. Traders weigh these factors against the account's established preference for targeted messaging over daily commentary.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
<5 44%
20-24 27.9%
25-29 27.7%
30-34 14.4%
BARU
BARU
May 22, 2026
<5
44%
5-9
26%
10-14
27%
15-19
27%
20-24
28%
25-29
28%
30-34
14%
35-39
1%
40-44
5%
45-49
4%
50-54
22%
55-59
9%
60+
<1%
<5 44%
20-24 27.9%
25-29 27.7%
30-34 14.4%
BARU
BARU
May 22, 2026
<5
$228 Vol.
44%
5-9
$76 Vol.
26%
10-14
$85 Vol.
27%
15-19
$58 Vol.
27%
20-24
$54 Vol.
28%
25-29
$54 Vol.
28%
30-34
$115 Vol.
14%
35-39
$83 Vol.
1%
40-44
$185 Vol.
5%
45-49
$109 Vol.
4%
50-54
$192 Vol.
22%
55-59
$174 Vol.
9%
60+
$333 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account's posting patterns during Iran's ongoing regional tensions and leadership consolidation under Mojtaba Khamenei shape current trader assessments. Historical data shows irregular bursts of activity tied to geopolitical statements on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear negotiations, interspersed with multi-day silences even amid active diplomacy. Recent developments, including senior officials' demands for guarantees against future attacks and reaffirmations of control over key waterways as of mid-May 2026, have prompted selective rather than sustained output. This dynamic supports the leading outcome of under five posts for the full week while leaving room for moderate volume if new diplomatic or military signals emerge before May 22. Traders weigh these factors against the account's established preference for targeted messaging over daily commentary.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,745Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account's posting patterns during Iran's ongoing regional tensions and leadership consolidation under Mojtaba Khamenei shape current trader assessments. Historical data shows irregular bursts of activity tied to geopolitical statements on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear negotiations, interspersed with multi-day silences even amid active diplomacy. Recent developments, including senior officials' demands for guarantees against future attacks and reaffirmations of control over key waterways as of mid-May 2026, have prompted selective rather than sustained output. This dynamic supports the leading outcome of under five posts for the full week while leaving room for moderate volume if new diplomatic or military signals emerge before May 22. Traders weigh these factors against the account's established preference for targeted messaging over daily commentary.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,745Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account's posting patterns during Iran's ongoing regional tensions and leadership consolidation under Mojtaba Khamenei shape current trader assessments. Historical data shows irregular bursts of activity tied to geopolitical statements on issues such as the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear negotiations, interspersed with multi-day silences even amid active diplomacy. Recent developments, including senior officials' demands for guarantees against future attacks and reaffirmations of control over key waterways as of mid-May 2026, have prompted selective rather than sustained output. This dynamic supports the leading outcome of under five posts for the full week while leaving room for moderate volume if new diplomatic or military signals emerge before May 22. Traders weigh these factors against the account's established preference for targeted messaging over daily commentary.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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