Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
<5 49%
5-9 8%
55-59 7.0%
10-14 1.1%
BARU
BARU
May 22, 2026
<5
49%
5-9
26%
10-14
22%
15-19
23%
20-24
22%
25-29
16%
30-34
15%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
5%
55-59
7%
60+
1%
<5 49%
5-9 8%
55-59 7.0%
10-14 1.1%
BARU
BARU
May 22, 2026
<5
$297 Vol.
49%
5-9
$81 Vol.
26%
10-14
$90 Vol.
22%
15-19
$63 Vol.
23%
20-24
$59 Vol.
22%
25-29
$59 Vol.
16%
30-34
$120 Vol.
15%
35-39
$88 Vol.
1%
40-44
$190 Vol.
1%
45-49
$120 Vol.
1%
50-54
$197 Vol.
5%
55-59
$179 Vol.
7%
60+
$338 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,879Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,879Tanggal Berakhir
May 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions fewer than five posts by Ayatollah Khamenei during May 15–22, 2026 as the leading outcome, consistent with his established pattern of limited official social media activity on the platform. Historical posting frequency shows intervals of several days between statements, often tied to formal addresses, religious observances, or responses to major policy developments rather than daily commentary. With the resolution window still open through May 22 and no scheduled high-profile events confirmed in the immediate period, traders appear to weigh continuity of restrained output most heavily. Any shift would likely require an unscheduled statement on regional diplomacy, domestic governance, or international relations that exceeds typical cadence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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