Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires indicate a minimum temperature near 1°C on August 22, 2026, with model consensus showing clear skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling overnight. This setup, following a cooler-than-average July that included rare snowfall events farther south, supports elevated probabilities for outcomes clustered around freezing. Key differentiators include the strength of cold-air advection from Patagonia, dew-point depression affecting frost potential, and the urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2°C relative to suburban stations. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs will refine whether the low stays above 0°C or dips slightly below, with traders weighting these variables given the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 22?
1°C or higher 60%
-1°C 28%
0°C 28%
-2°C 26%
-9°C or below
1%
-8°C
1%
-7°C
1%
-6°C
1%
-5°C
4%
-4°C
9%
-3°C
26%
-2°C
26%
-1°C
28%
0°C
28%
1°C or higher
38%
1°C or higher 60%
-1°C 28%
0°C 28%
-2°C 26%
-9°C or below
1%
-8°C
1%
-7°C
1%
-6°C
1%
-5°C
4%
-4°C
9%
-3°C
26%
-2°C
26%
-1°C
28%
0°C
28%
1°C or higher
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires indicate a minimum temperature near 1°C on August 22, 2026, with model consensus showing clear skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling overnight. This setup, following a cooler-than-average July that included rare snowfall events farther south, supports elevated probabilities for outcomes clustered around freezing. Key differentiators include the strength of cold-air advection from Patagonia, dew-point depression affecting frost potential, and the urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2°C relative to suburban stations. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs will refine whether the low stays above 0°C or dips slightly below, with traders weighting these variables given the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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