**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on September 16 are the main drivers keeping the overnight minimum near 18°C by suppressing radiative cooling.** High humidity, light winds, and the Sichuan Basin's topographic trapping of moist air further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent model runs showing lows of 18–19°C amid scattered showers. This aligns with the post-monsoon cooling trend and recent regional patterns of frequent light precipitation that narrow the diurnal range. Trader odds cluster tightly around 18–19°C because small shifts in rain timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer breaks remain unlikely given the stable synoptic setup. Updated short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
13°C or below 49%
23°C or higher 49%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
49%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
32%
19°C
29%
20°C
22%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
49%
13°C or below 49%
23°C or higher 49%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$39 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
29%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on September 16 are the main drivers keeping the overnight minimum near 18°C by suppressing radiative cooling.** High humidity, light winds, and the Sichuan Basin's topographic trapping of moist air further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent model runs showing lows of 18–19°C amid scattered showers. This aligns with the post-monsoon cooling trend and recent regional patterns of frequent light precipitation that narrow the diurnal range. Trader odds cluster tightly around 18–19°C because small shifts in rain timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer breaks remain unlikely given the stable synoptic setup. Updated short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$39Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on September 16 are the main drivers keeping the overnight minimum near 18°C by suppressing radiative cooling.** High humidity, light winds, and the Sichuan Basin's topographic trapping of moist air further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent model runs showing lows of 18–19°C amid scattered showers. This aligns with the post-monsoon cooling trend and recent regional patterns of frequent light precipitation that narrow the diurnal range. Trader odds cluster tightly around 18–19°C because small shifts in rain timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer breaks remain unlikely given the stable synoptic setup. Updated short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Chengdu on September 16 are the main drivers keeping the overnight minimum near 18°C by suppressing radiative cooling.** High humidity, light winds, and the Sichuan Basin's topographic trapping of moist air further moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent model runs showing lows of 18–19°C amid scattered showers. This aligns with the post-monsoon cooling trend and recent regional patterns of frequent light precipitation that narrow the diurnal range. Trader odds cluster tightly around 18–19°C because small shifts in rain timing or intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while clearer breaks remain unlikely given the stable synoptic setup. Updated short-range forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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