Recent atmospheric circulation shifts have produced an "autumn tiger" warming pattern across northern China, with Jinan daytime highs reaching 31–33°C in mid-September and limited cold-air intrusions so far. Ensemble forecasts for the September 19 overnight minimum cluster near 19–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local radiative cooling rates, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties heavily ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution model runs expected overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jinan on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 19?
12°C or below 88%
22°C or higher 46%
17°C 40%
18°C 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
88%
13°C
17%
14°C
10%
15°C
10%
16°C
21%
17°C
24%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C or higher
46%
12°C or below 88%
22°C or higher 46%
17°C 40%
18°C 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Vol.
88%
13°C
$10 Vol.
17%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$5 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric circulation shifts have produced an "autumn tiger" warming pattern across northern China, with Jinan daytime highs reaching 31–33°C in mid-September and limited cold-air intrusions so far. Ensemble forecasts for the September 19 overnight minimum cluster near 19–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local radiative cooling rates, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties heavily ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric circulation shifts have produced an "autumn tiger" warming pattern across northern China, with Jinan daytime highs reaching 31–33°C in mid-September and limited cold-air intrusions so far. Ensemble forecasts for the September 19 overnight minimum cluster near 19–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local radiative cooling rates, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties heavily ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric circulation shifts have produced an "autumn tiger" warming pattern across northern China, with Jinan daytime highs reaching 31–33°C in mid-September and limited cold-air intrusions so far. Ensemble forecasts for the September 19 overnight minimum cluster near 19–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, supporting the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local radiative cooling rates, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties heavily ahead of the next China Meteorological Administration guidance and updated high-resolution model runs expected overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan