Current forecast models from agencies including the Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 11–14°C under southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered rain that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors the middle temperature bins priced near 20–30% while keeping the 17°C+ and sub-8°C tails near even odds. Key variables include exact precipitation timing, which could either enhance or suppress cooling, and any late model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed. Historical September minima average near 8–10°C, but the current warm advection pattern reduces that likelihood absent an unexpected cold-air intrusion. Updated runs tonight will clarify resolution thresholds for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
7°C or below 96%
17°C or higher 96%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C or below
96%
8°C
18%
9°C
19%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
23%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
96%
7°C or below 96%
17°C or higher 96%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
7°C or below
96%
8°C
18%
9°C
19%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
23%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow's overnight low on September 22 likely falling between 11–14°C under southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered rain that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors the middle temperature bins priced near 20–30% while keeping the 17°C+ and sub-8°C tails near even odds. Key variables include exact precipitation timing, which could either enhance or suppress cooling, and any late model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed. Historical September minima average near 8–10°C, but the current warm advection pattern reduces that likelihood absent an unexpected cold-air intrusion. Updated runs tonight will clarify resolution thresholds for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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