Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a frontal passage and northerly flow bringing cooler, moist air to Istanbul on September 22–23, with widespread rain expected to suppress daytime highs near 18–21°C while overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies could drive the daily minimum into the low teens or below. This setup explains the near-even market split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes, as small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture determine whether temperatures dip sharply after midnight or stabilize higher. Historical September minima average around 15°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors below-normal readings. Updated ensemble guidance and any late-model shifts in steering flow or precipitation duration remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 23?
8°C or below 100%
18°C or higher 98%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 23, 2026
8°C or below
100%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C or higher
98%
8°C or below 100%
18°C or higher 98%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 23, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a frontal passage and northerly flow bringing cooler, moist air to Istanbul on September 22–23, with widespread rain expected to suppress daytime highs near 18–21°C while overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies could drive the daily minimum into the low teens or below. This setup explains the near-even market split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes, as small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture determine whether temperatures dip sharply after midnight or stabilize higher. Historical September minima average around 15°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors below-normal readings. Updated ensemble guidance and any late-model shifts in steering flow or precipitation duration remain key variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a frontal passage and northerly flow bringing cooler, moist air to Istanbul on September 22–23, with widespread rain expected to suppress daytime highs near 18–21°C while overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies could drive the daily minimum into the low teens or below. This setup explains the near-even market split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes, as small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture determine whether temperatures dip sharply after midnight or stabilize higher. Historical September minima average around 15°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors below-normal readings. Updated ensemble guidance and any late-model shifts in steering flow or precipitation duration remain key variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a frontal passage and northerly flow bringing cooler, moist air to Istanbul on September 22–23, with widespread rain expected to suppress daytime highs near 18–21°C while overnight radiative cooling under clearing skies could drive the daily minimum into the low teens or below. This setup explains the near-even market split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes, as small differences in wind speed, cloud timing, and boundary-layer moisture determine whether temperatures dip sharply after midnight or stabilize higher. Historical September minima average around 15°C, but the current synoptic pattern favors below-normal readings. Updated ensemble guidance and any late-model shifts in steering flow or precipitation duration remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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