**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on September 21 will likely fall in the upper teens Celsius, with trader consensus clustered around 15–20°C due to mild late-summer conditions.** Light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 15–17°C are limiting strong radiational cooling, while daytime highs near 24–26°C reflect residual warmth from a stable high-pressure pattern. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows minimal precipitation risk and no significant cold-air advection, keeping the minimum above historical September averages in many runs. Slight model disagreements on cloud cover and wind speed create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly minimum recorded at standard stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
16°C 92%
15°C or below 91%
18°C 49%
20°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
15°C or below
91%
16°C
92%
17°C
48%
18°C
49%
19°C
48%
20°C
49%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
16°C 92%
15°C or below 91%
18°C 49%
20°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
91%
16°C
$0 Vol.
92%
17°C
$0 Vol.
48%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on September 21 will likely fall in the upper teens Celsius, with trader consensus clustered around 15–20°C due to mild late-summer conditions.** Light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 15–17°C are limiting strong radiational cooling, while daytime highs near 24–26°C reflect residual warmth from a stable high-pressure pattern. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows minimal precipitation risk and no significant cold-air advection, keeping the minimum above historical September averages in many runs. Slight model disagreements on cloud cover and wind speed create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly minimum recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$419Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on September 21 will likely fall in the upper teens Celsius, with trader consensus clustered around 15–20°C due to mild late-summer conditions.** Light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 15–17°C are limiting strong radiational cooling, while daytime highs near 24–26°C reflect residual warmth from a stable high-pressure pattern. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows minimal precipitation risk and no significant cold-air advection, keeping the minimum above historical September averages in many runs. Slight model disagreements on cloud cover and wind speed create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly minimum recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$419Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul on September 21 will likely fall in the upper teens Celsius, with trader consensus clustered around 15–20°C due to mild late-summer conditions.** Light northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 15–17°C are limiting strong radiational cooling, while daytime highs near 24–26°C reflect residual warmth from a stable high-pressure pattern. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows minimal precipitation risk and no significant cold-air advection, keeping the minimum above historical September averages in many runs. Slight model disagreements on cloud cover and wind speed create the narrow spread in market-implied odds, with resolution hinging on the precise hourly minimum recorded at standard stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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