Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 21 converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. Multiple models show surface highs reaching 25–26°C by afternoon before cooling overnight, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs near 23°C can rise under stable high-pressure patterns before an incoming frontal system brings cooler, wetter conditions on September 22. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C against minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Latest model runs and official guidance will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 21?
25°C 51%
26°C 33%
24°C 12%
27°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
51%
26°C
33%
27°C
7%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 33%
24°C 12%
27°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$629 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,131 Vol.
12%
25°C
$813 Vol.
51%
26°C
$1,049 Vol.
33%
27°C
$583 Vol.
7%
28°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 21 converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. Multiple models show surface highs reaching 25–26°C by afternoon before cooling overnight, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs near 23°C can rise under stable high-pressure patterns before an incoming frontal system brings cooler, wetter conditions on September 22. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C against minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Latest model runs and official guidance will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,227Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 21 converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. Multiple models show surface highs reaching 25–26°C by afternoon before cooling overnight, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs near 23°C can rise under stable high-pressure patterns before an incoming frontal system brings cooler, wetter conditions on September 22. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C against minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Latest model runs and official guidance will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,227Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 21 converge on a daily maximum of 25–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. Multiple models show surface highs reaching 25–26°C by afternoon before cooling overnight, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs near 23°C can rise under stable high-pressure patterns before an incoming frontal system brings cooler, wetter conditions on September 22. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C against minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat effects. Latest model runs and official guidance will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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