**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.** Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds. Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
18°C 43%
19°C 26%
20°C 12%
17°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
43%
19°C
26%
20°C
12%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 26%
20°C 12%
17°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$336 Vol.
1%
15°C
$253 Vol.
1%
16°C
$108 Vol.
1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
9%
18°C
$175 Vol.
43%
19°C
$216 Vol.
26%
20°C
$129 Vol.
12%
21°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$550 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.**
Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds.
Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,024Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.**
Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds.
Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,024Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.** Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds. Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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