**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 23°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 13, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance of a 24°C overnight low under initially clear skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions.** Ensemble models show modest potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover stays limited, a typical source of spread in late-summer Korean Peninsula forecasts amid ongoing heatwave conditions. Historical August baselines and current observational trends support minimums in the low-to-mid 20s°C when daytime highs reach the low 30s°C. The consensus could shift only if revised model runs or real-time surface observations indicate sustained cloudiness or increased winds that limit overnight cooling below the 23°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
23°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
BARU
$13,729 Vol.
BARU
$13,729 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
99%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.4%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
BARU
$13,729 Vol.
BARU
$13,729 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$427 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$573 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,777 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,812 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,916 Vol.
99%
24°C
$3,239 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$527 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$950 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$420 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 23°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 13, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance of a 24°C overnight low under initially clear skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions.** Ensemble models show modest potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover stays limited, a typical source of spread in late-summer Korean Peninsula forecasts amid ongoing heatwave conditions. Historical August baselines and current observational trends support minimums in the low-to-mid 20s°C when daytime highs reach the low 30s°C. The consensus could shift only if revised model runs or real-time surface observations indicate sustained cloudiness or increased winds that limit overnight cooling below the 23°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,729Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 23°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 13, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance of a 24°C overnight low under initially clear skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions.** Ensemble models show modest potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover stays limited, a typical source of spread in late-summer Korean Peninsula forecasts amid ongoing heatwave conditions. Historical August baselines and current observational trends support minimums in the low-to-mid 20s°C when daytime highs reach the low 30s°C. The consensus could shift only if revised model runs or real-time surface observations indicate sustained cloudiness or increased winds that limit overnight cooling below the 23°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,729Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds strongly favor a 23°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 13, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance of a 24°C overnight low under initially clear skies transitioning to mostly cloudy conditions.** Ensemble models show modest potential for stronger nocturnal radiative cooling if cloud cover stays limited, a typical source of spread in late-summer Korean Peninsula forecasts amid ongoing heatwave conditions. Historical August baselines and current observational trends support minimums in the low-to-mid 20s°C when daytime highs reach the low 30s°C. The consensus could shift only if revised model runs or real-time surface observations indicate sustained cloudiness or increased winds that limit overnight cooling below the 23°C threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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