Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 18 will likely range between 23–24°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light easterly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, typical during the East Asian monsoon transition, support the market's emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome while leaving room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop overnight. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 22°C, but current model consensus and short-range guidance favor the warmer side of that baseline, with limited expected variability from urban heat effects or precipitation timing. Updated model runs overnight and early morning observations will provide the final data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
24°C 41%
23°C 26%
22°C 11.4%
25°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
41%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 26%
22°C 11.4%
25°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
11%
23°C
26%
24°C
41%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 18 will likely range between 23–24°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light easterly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions, typical during the East Asian monsoon transition, support the market's emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome while leaving room for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop overnight. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 22°C, but current model consensus and short-range guidance favor the warmer side of that baseline, with limited expected variability from urban heat effects or precipitation timing. Updated model runs overnight and early morning observations will provide the final data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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