Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a mild overnight period in Shanghai on September 12, with minimum temperatures stabilizing near 23–24°C under clear skies, light easterly winds around 2–7 km/h, and high humidity levels of 60–80%. This setup reflects typical mid-September subtropical conditions without significant frontal passages or precipitation to enhance radiational cooling, supporting the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for a 24°C low. Official observations through late evening align with these projections, though minor discrepancies in station-specific readings or late-night model updates could still shift the final recorded minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
24°C 96%
23°C 5%
22°C 2.0%
21°C <1%
$21,496 Vol.
$21,496 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
96%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 96%
23°C 5%
22°C 2.0%
21°C <1%
$21,496 Vol.
$21,496 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,075 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,060 Vol.
2%
23°C
$3,716 Vol.
5%
24°C
$8,834 Vol.
96%
25°C
$3,808 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a mild overnight period in Shanghai on September 12, with minimum temperatures stabilizing near 23–24°C under clear skies, light easterly winds around 2–7 km/h, and high humidity levels of 60–80%. This setup reflects typical mid-September subtropical conditions without significant frontal passages or precipitation to enhance radiational cooling, supporting the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for a 24°C low. Official observations through late evening align with these projections, though minor discrepancies in station-specific readings or late-night model updates could still shift the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$21,496Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a mild overnight period in Shanghai on September 12, with minimum temperatures stabilizing near 23–24°C under clear skies, light easterly winds around 2–7 km/h, and high humidity levels of 60–80%. This setup reflects typical mid-September subtropical conditions without significant frontal passages or precipitation to enhance radiational cooling, supporting the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for a 24°C low. Official observations through late evening align with these projections, though minor discrepancies in station-specific readings or late-night model updates could still shift the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,496Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a mild overnight period in Shanghai on September 12, with minimum temperatures stabilizing near 23–24°C under clear skies, light easterly winds around 2–7 km/h, and high humidity levels of 60–80%. This setup reflects typical mid-September subtropical conditions without significant frontal passages or precipitation to enhance radiational cooling, supporting the market's strong 90.5% implied probability for a 24°C low. Official observations through late evening align with these projections, though minor discrepancies in station-specific readings or late-night model updates could still shift the final recorded minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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