Current forecast guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models points to a minimum near 23–24 °C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under clear skies and light winds, keeping the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Radiative cooling overnight is tempered by the moderating influence of the adjacent Mediterranean Sea, which supplies relatively warm, moist air, while the urban heat island and typical August climatology (average lows near 24–25 °C) limit further drops. Minor differences among ensemble members hinge on exact wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing, creating the tight spread across 21–24 °C bins. Updated model runs and official observations through the pre-dawn hours will determine the final recorded low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
21°C 35%
24°C 34%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
21%
21°C
35%
22°C
37%
23°C
39%
24°C
34%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
21°C 35%
24°C 34%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
21%
21°C
35%
22°C
37%
23°C
39%
24°C
34%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models points to a minimum near 23–24 °C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under clear skies and light winds, keeping the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Radiative cooling overnight is tempered by the moderating influence of the adjacent Mediterranean Sea, which supplies relatively warm, moist air, while the urban heat island and typical August climatology (average lows near 24–25 °C) limit further drops. Minor differences among ensemble members hinge on exact wind direction, cloud cover timing, and boundary-layer mixing, creating the tight spread across 21–24 °C bins. Updated model runs and official observations through the pre-dawn hours will determine the final recorded low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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