Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?

Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?

icon for Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?

Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?

78-79°F 42%

76-77°F 30%

80-81°F 16%

74-75°F 8%

Polymarket
BARU

78-79°F 42%

76-77°F 30%

80-81°F 16%

74-75°F 8%

Polymarket
BARU

71°F or below

$31 Vol.

1%

72-73°F

$75 Vol.

3%

74-75°F

$56 Vol.

8%

76-77°F

$60 Vol.

30%

78-79°F

$422 Vol.

42%

80-81°F

$27 Vol.

16%

82-83°F

$10 Vol.

4%

84-85°F

$53 Vol.

<1%

86-87°F

$158 Vol.

<1%

88-89°F

$358 Vol.

<1%

90°F or higher

$467 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and multiple models positions the highest temperature in Seattle on August 26, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s.** Official NWS guidance highlights upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest maintaining mostly sunny skies and southwesterly flow, with highs in the 70s to lower 80s after Tuesday’s warmer peak. Multiple sources converge on 74–82°F, with specific point forecasts clustering near 75–76°F (WeatherBug, WindBorne) or slightly higher at 82°F in some updates. Scientific drivers include daytime solar heating under partly cloudy to sunny conditions, moderated by onshore marine influence and light winds that limit extreme warming. The long-term August 26 climatological average high of 75.5°F provides context, while recent regional ridging has supported above-normal readings without pushing into record territory. Minor smoke advection from wildfires may slightly suppress maximums by reducing insolation. Market-implied odds heavily favor 78–79°F (41.5%) and 76–77°F (29.5%), reflecting trader weighting of the tight forecast envelope and limited expected spread in model runs. Lower probabilities for 80–81°F (16.5%) account for upside uncertainty if skies clear more than anticipated, while sub-75°F outcomes remain discounted given persistent warmth. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance on the 25th represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,718
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and multiple models positions the highest temperature in Seattle on August 26, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s.** Official NWS guidance highlights upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest maintaining mostly sunny skies and southwesterly flow, with highs in the 70s to lower 80s after Tuesday’s warmer peak. Multiple sources converge on 74–82°F, with specific point forecasts clustering near 75–76°F (WeatherBug, WindBorne) or slightly higher at 82°F in some updates. Scientific drivers include daytime solar heating under partly cloudy to sunny conditions, moderated by onshore marine influence and light winds that limit extreme warming. The long-term August 26 climatological average high of 75.5°F provides context, while recent regional ridging has supported above-normal readings without pushing into record territory. Minor smoke advection from wildfires may slightly suppress maximums by reducing insolation. Market-implied odds heavily favor 78–79°F (41.5%) and 76–77°F (29.5%), reflecting trader weighting of the tight forecast envelope and limited expected spread in model runs. Lower probabilities for 80–81°F (16.5%) account for upside uncertainty if skies clear more than anticipated, while sub-75°F outcomes remain discounted given persistent warmth. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance on the 25th represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,718
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "78-79°F" di 42%, diikuti oleh "76-77°F" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 42¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 24, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?" adalah "78-79°F" di 42%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 42% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "76-77°F" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Highest temperature in Seattle on August 26?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.