**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and multiple models positions the highest temperature in Seattle on August 26, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s.** Official NWS guidance highlights upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest maintaining mostly sunny skies and southwesterly flow, with highs in the 70s to lower 80s after Tuesday’s warmer peak. Multiple sources converge on 74–82°F, with specific point forecasts clustering near 75–76°F (WeatherBug, WindBorne) or slightly higher at 82°F in some updates. Scientific drivers include daytime solar heating under partly cloudy to sunny conditions, moderated by onshore marine influence and light winds that limit extreme warming. The long-term August 26 climatological average high of 75.5°F provides context, while recent regional ridging has supported above-normal readings without pushing into record territory. Minor smoke advection from wildfires may slightly suppress maximums by reducing insolation. Market-implied odds heavily favor 78–79°F (41.5%) and 76–77°F (29.5%), reflecting trader weighting of the tight forecast envelope and limited expected spread in model runs. Lower probabilities for 80–81°F (16.5%) account for upside uncertainty if skies clear more than anticipated, while sub-75°F outcomes remain discounted given persistent warmth. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance on the 25th represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on August 26?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 8%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 8%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and multiple models positions the highest temperature in Seattle on August 26, 2026, in the mid-to-upper 70s.** Official NWS guidance highlights upper-level ridging over the Pacific Northwest maintaining mostly sunny skies and southwesterly flow, with highs in the 70s to lower 80s after Tuesday’s warmer peak. Multiple sources converge on 74–82°F, with specific point forecasts clustering near 75–76°F (WeatherBug, WindBorne) or slightly higher at 82°F in some updates. Scientific drivers include daytime solar heating under partly cloudy to sunny conditions, moderated by onshore marine influence and light winds that limit extreme warming. The long-term August 26 climatological average high of 75.5°F provides context, while recent regional ridging has supported above-normal readings without pushing into record territory. Minor smoke advection from wildfires may slightly suppress maximums by reducing insolation. Market-implied odds heavily favor 78–79°F (41.5%) and 76–77°F (29.5%), reflecting trader weighting of the tight forecast envelope and limited expected spread in model runs. Lower probabilities for 80–81°F (16.5%) account for upside uncertainty if skies clear more than anticipated, while sub-75°F outcomes remain discounted given persistent warmth. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model guidance on the 25th represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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