**Current numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4 around 24–25°C, aligning with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 67.5% implied probability.** Stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and partly clear skies are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared to early-September climatological averages near 21–23°C. Hourly guidance from sources such as Yr and WindBorne shows temperatures bottoming near 23–25°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising with daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the high probability assigned to 25°C while capping odds for cooler thresholds like 21°C (36.5%) or 20°C or below (22.5%). No incoming fronts, increased humidity, or cloud cover are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing in the current forecast consensus rather than historical norms or longer-range variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
25°C 63%
30°C or higher 53%
23°C 46%
20°C or below 41%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
41%
21°C
35%
22°C
34%
23°C
46%
24°C
40%
25°C
63%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
53%
25°C 63%
30°C or higher 53%
23°C 46%
20°C or below 41%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
41%
21°C
$0 Vol.
35%
22°C
$0 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
63%
26°C
$12 Vol.
8%
27°C
$12 Vol.
8%
28°C
$34 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4 around 24–25°C, aligning with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 67.5% implied probability.** Stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and partly clear skies are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared to early-September climatological averages near 21–23°C. Hourly guidance from sources such as Yr and WindBorne shows temperatures bottoming near 23–25°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising with daytime heating.
Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the high probability assigned to 25°C while capping odds for cooler thresholds like 21°C (36.5%) or 20°C or below (22.5%). No incoming fronts, increased humidity, or cloud cover are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing in the current forecast consensus rather than historical norms or longer-range variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$58Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4 around 24–25°C, aligning with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 67.5% implied probability.** Stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and partly clear skies are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared to early-September climatological averages near 21–23°C. Hourly guidance from sources such as Yr and WindBorne shows temperatures bottoming near 23–25°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising with daytime heating.
Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the high probability assigned to 25°C while capping odds for cooler thresholds like 21°C (36.5%) or 20°C or below (22.5%). No incoming fronts, increased humidity, or cloud cover are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing in the current forecast consensus rather than historical norms or longer-range variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4 around 24–25°C, aligning with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 67.5% implied probability.** Stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and partly clear skies are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared to early-September climatological averages near 21–23°C. Hourly guidance from sources such as Yr and WindBorne shows temperatures bottoming near 23–25°C in the pre-dawn hours before rising with daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, supporting the high probability assigned to 25°C while capping odds for cooler thresholds like 21°C (36.5%) or 20°C or below (22.5%). No incoming fronts, increased humidity, or cloud cover are expected to alter this pattern before resolution. Traders are therefore pricing in the current forecast consensus rather than historical norms or longer-range variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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