Recent forecasts from MetService and NIWA indicate overnight lows in Wellington on August 26 will likely settle near 9–12°C, driven by a mix of southerly airflow advecting cooler Antarctic air masses and variable cloud cover that modulates nighttime radiative cooling. Wellington’s exposed coastal position and frequent strong winds enhance heat loss and wind chill, while high-pressure influences or clearer skies could allow temperatures to dip toward 11°C or lower through greater longwave radiation emission. Seasonal outlooks favor near-average conditions overall, but short-term model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels creates tight clustering around 12°C as the most probable minimum, with small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength differentiating the closely matched 11–13°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
12°C 37%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
14°C 24%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
16%
10°C
13%
11°C
27%
12°C
37%
13°C
29%
14°C
24%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
12°C 37%
13°C 29%
11°C 27%
14°C 24%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
16%
10°C
13%
11°C
27%
12°C
37%
13°C
29%
14°C
24%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and NIWA indicate overnight lows in Wellington on August 26 will likely settle near 9–12°C, driven by a mix of southerly airflow advecting cooler Antarctic air masses and variable cloud cover that modulates nighttime radiative cooling. Wellington’s exposed coastal position and frequent strong winds enhance heat loss and wind chill, while high-pressure influences or clearer skies could allow temperatures to dip toward 11°C or lower through greater longwave radiation emission. Seasonal outlooks favor near-average conditions overall, but short-term model consensus on steering patterns and humidity levels creates tight clustering around 12°C as the most probable minimum, with small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength differentiating the closely matched 11–13°C outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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