Recent weather models and official forecasts from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 25 likely falling between 10–12°C under northwest winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Persistent northerly flow limits radiative cooling overnight, while variable cloud cover and urban effects introduce small uncertainties in the exact low. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited spread, consistent with historical August minima near the 10.3°C climatological average. Traders' balanced probabilities across 10–13°C reflect this narrow forecast range and the potential for minor revisions from updated model runs or local observations before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
11°C 29%
10°C 28%
12°C 28%
13°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
28%
11°C
29%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
11°C 29%
10°C 28%
12°C 28%
13°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$140 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$66 Vol.
3%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$40 Vol.
9%
15°C
$5 Vol.
2%
16°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models and official forecasts from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 25 likely falling between 10–12°C under northwest winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Persistent northerly flow limits radiative cooling overnight, while variable cloud cover and urban effects introduce small uncertainties in the exact low. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited spread, consistent with historical August minima near the 10.3°C climatological average. Traders' balanced probabilities across 10–13°C reflect this narrow forecast range and the potential for minor revisions from updated model runs or local observations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$977Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather models and official forecasts from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 25 likely falling between 10–12°C under northwest winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Persistent northerly flow limits radiative cooling overnight, while variable cloud cover and urban effects introduce small uncertainties in the exact low. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited spread, consistent with historical August minima near the 10.3°C climatological average. Traders' balanced probabilities across 10–13°C reflect this narrow forecast range and the potential for minor revisions from updated model runs or local observations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$977Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models and official forecasts from MetService and international agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 25 likely falling between 10–12°C under northwest winds and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Persistent northerly flow limits radiative cooling overnight, while variable cloud cover and urban effects introduce small uncertainties in the exact low. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited spread, consistent with historical August minima near the 10.3°C climatological average. Traders' balanced probabilities across 10–13°C reflect this narrow forecast range and the potential for minor revisions from updated model runs or local observations before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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