Current forecasts from regional models indicate a daily minimum near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85%, light northerly winds, and widespread light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions favor a narrower diurnal range than clear-sky scenarios, keeping the low above typical mid-September baselines while suppressing extremes. Trader positioning reflects model divergence on exact rain timing and cloud thickness, which could shift the minimum by several degrees either way, alongside historical variability in autumn transition patterns. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will clarify resolution thresholds around the closely matched 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 22?
27°C or higher 92%
17°C or below 56%
21°C 44%
20°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
17°C or below
56%
18°C
18%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
44%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
29%
25°C
15%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
92%
27°C or higher 92%
17°C or below 56%
21°C 44%
20°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 22, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
56%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$10 Vol.
44%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
13%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate a daily minimum near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85%, light northerly winds, and widespread light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions favor a narrower diurnal range than clear-sky scenarios, keeping the low above typical mid-September baselines while suppressing extremes. Trader positioning reflects model divergence on exact rain timing and cloud thickness, which could shift the minimum by several degrees either way, alongside historical variability in autumn transition patterns. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will clarify resolution thresholds around the closely matched 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate a daily minimum near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85%, light northerly winds, and widespread light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions favor a narrower diurnal range than clear-sky scenarios, keeping the low above typical mid-September baselines while suppressing extremes. Trader positioning reflects model divergence on exact rain timing and cloud thickness, which could shift the minimum by several degrees either way, alongside historical variability in autumn transition patterns. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will clarify resolution thresholds around the closely matched 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models indicate a daily minimum near 21–22°C for Wuhan on September 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85%, light northerly winds, and widespread light rain that limits nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions favor a narrower diurnal range than clear-sky scenarios, keeping the low above typical mid-September baselines while suppressing extremes. Trader positioning reflects model divergence on exact rain timing and cloud thickness, which could shift the minimum by several degrees either way, alongside historical variability in autumn transition patterns. Updated CMA guidance and next model runs will clarify resolution thresholds around the closely matched 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher brackets.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan