**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Zhengzhou on August 31, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity allowing typical overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–34°C.** Recent late-August observations show minima of 20–23°C under similar high-pressure patterns, with no strong cold-air advection or anomalous moisture expected to push extremes. The near-even market split between 15°C or below (44.5%) and 25°C or higher (43.5%) likely stems from trader assessment of model spread in boundary-layer temperature and potential for slight forecast revisions, while specific probabilities around 20–24°C remain lower. Official station data at resolution time will determine the outcome amid standard late-summer variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 31?
15°C or below 93%
25°C or higher 90%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
15°C or below
93%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
27%
22°C
38%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
90%
15°C or below 93%
25°C or higher 90%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
15°C or below
93%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
27%
22°C
38%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Zhengzhou on August 31, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity allowing typical overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–34°C.** Recent late-August observations show minima of 20–23°C under similar high-pressure patterns, with no strong cold-air advection or anomalous moisture expected to push extremes. The near-even market split between 15°C or below (44.5%) and 25°C or higher (43.5%) likely stems from trader assessment of model spread in boundary-layer temperature and potential for slight forecast revisions, while specific probabilities around 20–24°C remain lower. Official station data at resolution time will determine the outcome amid standard late-summer variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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