Maryland's 5th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by the incumbent's 67.8% victory in 2024 and consistent partisan voting patterns across its southern Maryland and Washington suburbs counties. Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement opened the seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary resolved in June when Adrian Boafo secured the nomination. The Republican nominee, Chris Chaffee, faces structural disadvantages in a district without competitive general-election history for the party. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would indicate a shift. A national Republican surge or significant local scandal involving the Democratic nominee remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before November.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$17,978 Vol.
$17,978 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$17,978 Vol.
$17,978 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,736 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$9,242 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by the incumbent's 67.8% victory in 2024 and consistent partisan voting patterns across its southern Maryland and Washington suburbs counties. Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement opened the seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary resolved in June when Adrian Boafo secured the nomination. The Republican nominee, Chris Chaffee, faces structural disadvantages in a district without competitive general-election history for the party. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would indicate a shift. A national Republican surge or significant local scandal involving the Democratic nominee remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,978Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by the incumbent's 67.8% victory in 2024 and consistent partisan voting patterns across its southern Maryland and Washington suburbs counties. Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement opened the seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary resolved in June when Adrian Boafo secured the nomination. The Republican nominee, Chris Chaffee, faces structural disadvantages in a district without competitive general-election history for the party. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would indicate a shift. A national Republican surge or significant local scandal involving the Democratic nominee remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,978Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by the incumbent's 67.8% victory in 2024 and consistent partisan voting patterns across its southern Maryland and Washington suburbs counties. Steny Hoyer's January 2026 retirement opened the seat, prompting a crowded Democratic primary resolved in June when Adrian Boafo secured the nomination. The Republican nominee, Chris Chaffee, faces structural disadvantages in a district without competitive general-election history for the party. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of recent developments that would indicate a shift. A national Republican surge or significant local scandal involving the Democratic nominee remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the outcome before November.
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