Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading at 35-36 percent, with the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent and the Linke around 11-12 percent, while the CDU hovers near 9-10 percent and smaller parties like the Grüne and BSW remain near or below the five-percent threshold. This positioning keeps the contest for second place fluid, as late-campaign shifts, turnout differences, or coalition signals could elevate the Linke or erode SPD support in eastern strongholds. Traders price multiple outcomes near even odds because historical volatility in eastern state races and the six-week window to election day leave room for measurable movement among the trailing parties.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBSW 34%
CDU 33%
SPD 33%
FDP 33%

BSW
34%

CDU
33%

SPD
33%

FDP
33%

AfD
7%

Grüne
7%

Linke
7%

FW
7%
BSW 34%
CDU 33%
SPD 33%
FDP 33%

BSW
34%

CDU
33%

SPD
33%

FDP
33%

AfD
7%

Grüne
7%

Linke
7%

FW
7%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading at 35-36 percent, with the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent and the Linke around 11-12 percent, while the CDU hovers near 9-10 percent and smaller parties like the Grüne and BSW remain near or below the five-percent threshold. This positioning keeps the contest for second place fluid, as late-campaign shifts, turnout differences, or coalition signals could elevate the Linke or erode SPD support in eastern strongholds. Traders price multiple outcomes near even odds because historical volatility in eastern state races and the six-week window to election day leave room for measurable movement among the trailing parties.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan