Skip to main content
icon for Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?
Geopolitik·Israel

Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?

icon for Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?
Geopolitik·Israel

Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?

$938,528 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$938,528 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$8,418 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Naim Qassem assumed Hezbollah’s secretary-general role in October 2024 after the assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of mid-August 2026, he remains in the position, delivering public addresses on resistance to Israeli operations, rejection of direct negotiations, and opposition to disarmament amid Lebanese government talks with Israel and an Iran-U.S. framework for de-escalation. Israeli strikes claimed his elimination in April 2026 without confirmed follow-through in subsequent reporting, while earlier speculation about Iranian dissatisfaction with his performance has not produced visible changes. Trader views on his removal by a target date likely reflect persistent risks from targeted operations, potential Shura Council decisions, or shifts tied to ceasefire enforcement and regional diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$938,528
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between December 16, 2025 and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Naim Qassem assumed Hezbollah’s secretary-general role in October 2024 after the assassinations of Hassan Nasrallah and designated successor Hashem Safieddine. As of mid-August 2026, he remains in the position, delivering public addresses on resistance to Israeli operations, rejection of direct negotiations, and opposition to disarmament amid Lebanese government talks with Israel and an Iran-U.S. framework for de-escalation. Israeli strikes claimed his elimination in April 2026 without confirmed follow-through in subsequent reporting, while earlier speculation about Iranian dissatisfaction with his performance has not produced visible changes. Trader views on his removal by a target date likely reflect persistent risks from targeted operations, potential Shura Council decisions, or shifts tied to ceasefire enforcement and regional diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$938,528
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Terkait

icon for Apakah Hizbullah akan melucuti senjata pada 31 Desember?

Apakah Hizbullah akan melucuti senjata pada 31 Desember?

11%
Ya
icon for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

11%
icon for Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

4%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31, 2026" di 8%, diikuti oleh "31 Desember" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 8¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 8% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?" telah menghasilkan $938.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 24, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?" adalah "December 31, 2026" di hanya 8%, dengan "31 Desember" mengejar ketat di 0%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Naim Qassem keluar sebagai sekretaris jenderal Hizbullah oleh...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.