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Politik·Primer

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

$12,678 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,678 Vol.

Chris Pappas

$7,973 Vol.

92%

Karishma Manzur

$4,705 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas's commanding 92% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from his incumbency as U.S. Representative for NH-01, superior fundraising revealed in April 2026 reports showing a cash advantage, and strong endorsements including NEA-New Hampshire and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear. A late-April UNH Survey Center poll gave him 61% support among likely primary voters versus 18% for Karishma Manzur, with 18% undecided, reflecting his establishment backing in the open-seat race following Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's 2025 retirement announcement. Trader consensus underscores low risk of upset ahead of the September 8 primary, though late entrant, scandal, or progressive surge could challenge this path to nomination.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,678
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas's commanding 92% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from his incumbency as U.S. Representative for NH-01, superior fundraising revealed in April 2026 reports showing a cash advantage, and strong endorsements including NEA-New Hampshire and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear. A late-April UNH Survey Center poll gave him 61% support among likely primary voters versus 18% for Karishma Manzur, with 18% undecided, reflecting his establishment backing in the open-seat race following Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's 2025 retirement announcement. Trader consensus underscores low risk of upset ahead of the September 8 primary, though late entrant, scandal, or progressive surge could challenge this path to nomination.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,678
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Chris Pappas" di 92%, diikuti oleh "Karishma Manzur" di 4%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 92¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 92% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $12.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 26, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" adalah "Chris Pappas" di 92%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 92% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Karishma Manzur" di 4%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.