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Pemilihan Umum·Etiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Pemilihan Umum·Etiopia

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 98.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket

$12,029 Vol.

Abiy Ahmed 98.8%

Belete Molla <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket

$12,029 Vol.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$3,703 Vol.

99%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$1,117 Vol.

<1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$1,488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$1,049 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$1,218 Vol.

<1%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$1,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$1,199 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed holds a commanding position as Ethiopia’s incumbent leader of the Prosperity Party ahead of the June 2026 general election, supported by ongoing macroeconomic reforms that delivered reported 9.2 percent growth and new diplomatic roles such as African Union Champion for Artificial Intelligence. Traders see limited near-term challenge from opposition figures because the ruling party maintains strong institutional control and recent project launches have reinforced public visibility. Still, realistic scenarios that could alter outcomes include intensified localized violence in Amhara or Oromia regions disrupting the electoral process, sudden economic setbacks from external shocks, or an unforeseen health or political development that forces a leadership transition before the next parliamentary term.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,029
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed holds a commanding position as Ethiopia’s incumbent leader of the Prosperity Party ahead of the June 2026 general election, supported by ongoing macroeconomic reforms that delivered reported 9.2 percent growth and new diplomatic roles such as African Union Champion for Artificial Intelligence. Traders see limited near-term challenge from opposition figures because the ruling party maintains strong institutional control and recent project launches have reinforced public visibility. Still, realistic scenarios that could alter outcomes include intensified localized violence in Amhara or Oromia regions disrupting the electoral process, sudden economic setbacks from external shocks, or an unforeseen health or political development that forces a leadership transition before the next parliamentary term.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,029
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Abiy Ahmed" di 99%, diikuti oleh "Belete Molla" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 99¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 99% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" telah menghasilkan $12K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 27, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" adalah "Abiy Ahmed" di 99%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 99% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Belete Molla" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.