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icon for Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?

Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?

icon for Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?

Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?

Andy BurnhamΒ 56.4%

Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026Β 16%

Wes StreetingΒ 9%

Angela RaynerΒ 9%

Polymarket

$7,441,749 Vol.

Andy BurnhamΒ 56.4%

Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026Β 16%

Wes StreetingΒ 9%

Angela RaynerΒ 9%

Polymarket

$7,441,749 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$577,145 Vol.

56%

icon for Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026

Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026

$419,833 Vol.

16%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$286,838 Vol.

9%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$475,686 Vol.

9%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$320,881 Vol.

7%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$217,115 Vol.

2%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$810,430 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$302,938 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$289,128 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$304,671 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$692,849 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$531,526 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$198,803 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$259,833 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$354,406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$137,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$376,493 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$335,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$298,176 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$211,871 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$40,016 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent local election losses have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting cabinet resignations and positioning Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the frontrunner for Labour leadership. Burnham’s approval to contest the Makerfield by-election, following an MP’s resignation to clear his path back to Parliament, has boosted his implied probability to 56.4 percent among traders. Polling among party members shows him well ahead of rivals such as Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner, both of whom have signaled potential challenges after resolving personal and ministerial issues. The 15.5 percent share for no change in 2026 reflects uncertainty over Starmer’s willingness to stand aside before any contest, while lower odds for other names track their narrower support bases and procedural hurdles ahead of a possible summer or autumn leadership vote.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,441,749
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent local election losses have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting cabinet resignations and positioning Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as the frontrunner for Labour leadership. Burnham’s approval to contest the Makerfield by-election, following an MP’s resignation to clear his path back to Parliament, has boosted his implied probability to 56.4 percent among traders. Polling among party members shows him well ahead of rivals such as Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner, both of whom have signaled potential challenges after resolving personal and ministerial issues. The 15.5 percent share for no change in 2026 reflects uncertainty over Starmer’s willingness to stand aside before any contest, while lower odds for other names track their narrower support bases and procedural hurdles ahead of a possible summer or autumn leadership vote.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,441,749
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Andy Burnham" di 56%, diikuti oleh "Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?" telah menghasilkan $7.4 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?" adalah "Andy Burnham" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.