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icon for Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?

Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?

icon for Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?

Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?

Andy BurnhamΒ 56.6%

Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026Β 13%

Wes StreetingΒ 10%

Angela RaynerΒ 10%

Polymarket

$7,277,283 Vol.

Andy BurnhamΒ 56.6%

Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026Β 13%

Wes StreetingΒ 10%

Angela RaynerΒ 10%

Polymarket

$7,277,283 Vol.

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$572,148 Vol.

57%

icon for Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026

Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026

$398,398 Vol.

13%

icon for Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting

$284,117 Vol.

10%

icon for Angela Rayner

Angela Rayner

$472,816 Vol.

10%

icon for Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband

$318,418 Vol.

7%

icon for Al Carns

Al Carns

$214,817 Vol.

4%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$807,777 Vol.

1%

icon for Yvette Cooper

Yvette Cooper

$283,120 Vol.

1%

icon for Shabana Mahmood

Shabana Mahmood

$298,443 Vol.

1%

icon for Lucy Powell

Lucy Powell

$294,279 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rupert Lowe

Rupert Lowe

$689,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Reeves

Rachel Reeves

$448,796 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kemi Badenoch

Kemi Badenoch

$196,954 Vol.

<1%

icon for Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson

$257,601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ed Davey

Ed Davey

$352,678 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bridget Phillipson

Bridget Phillipson

$135,232 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Jenrick

Robert Jenrick

$374,026 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Lammy

David Lammy

$332,812 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Cleverly

James Cleverly

$296,454 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darren Jones

Darren Jones

$210,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Healey

John Healey

$38,441 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, following Labour's poor local election results, has positioned Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner among traders for the next prime minister. The Greater Manchester mayor has secured a route back to Parliament via the upcoming Makerfield by-election, opening a direct path to challenge in any leadership contest. Wes Streeting has announced plans to enter such a race if triggered, while Angela Rayner and others receive lower implied probabilities. The 12.5% chance assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed timetable for the next general election, though ongoing internal party dynamics and by-election outcomes could still shift timelines and candidate prospects.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,277,283
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, following Labour's poor local election results, has positioned Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner among traders for the next prime minister. The Greater Manchester mayor has secured a route back to Parliament via the upcoming Makerfield by-election, opening a direct path to challenge in any leadership contest. Wes Streeting has announced plans to enter such a race if triggered, while Angela Rayner and others receive lower implied probabilities. The 12.5% chance assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed timetable for the next general election, though ongoing internal party dynamics and by-election outcomes could still shift timelines and candidate prospects.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,277,283
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to β€œNo Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Andy Burnham" di 57%, diikuti oleh "Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026" di 13%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 57Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?" telah menghasilkan $7.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?" adalah "Andy Burnham" di 57%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026" di 13%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Perdana Menteri Inggris berikutnya pada tahun 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.