Recent pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, following Labour's poor local election results, has positioned Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner among traders for the next prime minister. The Greater Manchester mayor has secured a route back to Parliament via the upcoming Makerfield by-election, opening a direct path to challenge in any leadership contest. Wes Streeting has announced plans to enter such a race if triggered, while Angela Rayner and others receive lower implied probabilities. The 12.5% chance assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed timetable for the next general election, though ongoing internal party dynamics and by-election outcomes could still shift timelines and candidate prospects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiAndy BurnhamΒ 56.6%
Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026Β 13%
Wes StreetingΒ 10%
Angela RaynerΒ 10%
$7,277,283 Vol.
$7,277,283 Vol.

Andy Burnham
57%

Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026
13%

Wes Streeting
10%

Angela Rayner
10%

Ed Miliband
7%

Al Carns
4%

Nigel Farage
1%

Yvette Cooper
1%

Shabana Mahmood
1%

Lucy Powell
<1%

Rupert Lowe
<1%

Rachel Reeves
<1%

Kemi Badenoch
<1%

Boris Johnson
<1%

Ed Davey
<1%

Bridget Phillipson
<1%

Robert Jenrick
<1%

David Lammy
<1%

James Cleverly
<1%

Darren Jones
<1%

John Healey
<1%
Andy BurnhamΒ 56.6%
Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026Β 13%
Wes StreetingΒ 10%
Angela RaynerΒ 10%
$7,277,283 Vol.
$7,277,283 Vol.

Andy Burnham
57%

Tidak Ada PM Berikutnya di 2026
13%

Wes Streeting
10%

Angela Rayner
10%

Ed Miliband
7%

Al Carns
4%

Nigel Farage
1%

Yvette Cooper
1%

Shabana Mahmood
1%

Lucy Powell
<1%

Rupert Lowe
<1%

Rachel Reeves
<1%

Kemi Badenoch
<1%

Boris Johnson
<1%

Ed Davey
<1%

Bridget Phillipson
<1%

Robert Jenrick
<1%

David Lammy
<1%

James Cleverly
<1%

Darren Jones
<1%

John Healey
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to βNo Next PM in 2026β.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to βNo Next PM in 2026β.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent pressure on Keir Starmer's leadership, following Labour's poor local election results, has positioned Andy Burnham as the clear frontrunner among traders for the next prime minister. The Greater Manchester mayor has secured a route back to Parliament via the upcoming Makerfield by-election, opening a direct path to challenge in any leadership contest. Wes Streeting has announced plans to enter such a race if triggered, while Angela Rayner and others receive lower implied probabilities. The 12.5% chance assigned to no change in 2026 aligns with the fixed timetable for the next general election, though ongoing internal party dynamics and by-election outcomes could still shift timelines and candidate prospects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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